This boom-or-bust prospect could be the Spurs next draft steal

The San Antonio Spurs will have two top-10 picks in the 2024 NBA Draft, and they should take a chance on this high-risk, high-reward prospect.
Gregg Popovich
Gregg Popovich / Jacob Kupferman/GettyImages

The upcoming NBA draft will see the San Antonio Spurs select in the lottery for the fifth straight season, and it will give them another chance to add a top young prospect. While this year's draft may not be as strong as previous drafts, there are still some intriguing prospects, including Duke guard Rob Dillingham.

Dillingham is one of the better prospects given his impressive offensive repertoire, but there are also some concerns surrounding his fit in the NBA. The Spurs could use a high-level offensive player at point guard, and he has the potential to be a high scorer in the NBA and a capable passer, but can they address some of the concerns?

One question mark around Dillingham is his size at 6'2; that's around the average size for a point guard, but some see him as more of a shooting guard. In that case, he would definitely be undersized, and he doesn't have the physical tools or the effort needed to be able to defend either guard spot.

Can the Spurs turn Rob Dillingham into a star?

Dillingham's biggest strengths are his shooting and his ability to get to the rim. He shot a stellar 44.4% from outside on 4.5 attempts per game by hitting pull-ups, stepbacks, and spot-up threes. That shooting also helped him open up driving lanes and attack the paint using quick bursts while finishing in creative ways.

Were the Spurs to draft him, he'd immediately be their best shooter at point guard and their best slasher too. With Dillingham, they could attack more in transition, with him helping to push the pace. He can also play without the ball and drill threes when teams double Victor Wembanyama. Dillingham is also an underrated passer, so he should have no issues getting Wembanyama the ball.

Ultimately, Dillingham is seen as a boom-or-bust prospect who has a high ceiling and a relatively low floor. Given the lack of obvious star potential in this year's draft, the Spurs should be willing to take a chance on him in the hopes that he can become the best version of himself.