Odds of Each Spurs Starter Making 2016 All-Star Game
By George Middleton
Mar 24, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; San Antonio Spurs center Tiago Splitter (22), forward Tim Duncan (21), guard Tony Parker (9), and forward Kawhi Leonard (2) sit on the bench during the second half against the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks won 101-94. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
The San Antonio Spurs are without question one of the best teams in the NBA, at least it appears that way on paper. They added four-time all-star LaMarcus Aldridge and former all-star David West. They also added Ray McCallum, Jonathon Simmons, and Jimmer Fredette.
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The Spurs did lose a few key pieces such as Tiago Splitter and Marco Belinelli, but their signings will make it easy for fans to forget about them. What are the odds of each Spurs starter making the NBA All-Star game?
Next: Tony Parker
Apr 15, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; San Antonio Spurs guard Tony Parker (9) against the New Orleans Pelicans during a game at the Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans defeated the Spurs 108-103 and earned the 8th seed in the Western Conference Playoffs. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Tony Parker is a six-time NBA All-Star, but it seems that he’s past those days. Parker is only one year removed from his latest all-star appearance in 2014, but it seems that age and injuries have got to him. The 33-year old had his worst season since his rookie year. Parker averaged 14.4 points and 4.9 assists. In the postseason Parker was terrible. He averaged 10.9 points on an abysmal 36% from the field.
It’s hard to imagine that Parker will beat out the top point guards in the West. Russell Westbrook, Stephen Curry, Chris Paul, and Damian Lillard are much better at this stage. There are also a few wildcards for the game, such as Mike Conley and Ty Lawson. It seems improbable that Parker makes it, but it’s not impossible as he will be on a top team in the conference.
Odds: 25 percent
Next: Danny Green
Mar 24, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; San Antonio Spurs guard Danny Green (14) drives to the basket past Dallas Mavericks forwardCharlie Villanueva
(3) during the game at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks defeated the Spurs 101-94. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Danny Green has become one of the better “3 and d” guys in the league. He averaged 11.7 points and 4.2 rebounds last season. It was the best statistical season of his career, which earned him a nice paycheck. Green signed a 4-year $40 million contract with the Spurs. In terms of being a star player, Green is far from that. He is a versatile defender that can defend both wing spots and is a terrific shooter. Green’s 191 three-point makes broke a franchise record of 190 held by Chuck Person. He shot it at 42% the same as his career mark. In order to be an all-star Green would have to surpass players like Kobe Bryant, James Harden, and Klay Thompson, that won’t happen.
Odds: 2 percent
Next: Kawhi Leonard
Apr 10, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; San Antonio Spurs forward Kawhi Leonard (2) dribbles the ball during the second quarter against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Kawhi Leonard is a rising star. He is no longer the one-way player that many thought he would be. Leonard won the Defensive Player of the Year Award and had his best season last year. He averaged 16.5 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 2.3 steals. Leonard appeared to be heading for the all-star game before getting injured causing him to miss a portion of the first half of the season. This season Leonard will take the next step and make the all-star game. After all they are paying him like an all-star.
Odds: 85 percent
Next: Tim Duncan
April 22, 2015; Los Angeles, CA, USA; San Antonio Spurs forward Tim Duncan (21) controls the ball against the Los Angeles Clippers during the second half in game two of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. at Staples Center. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Tim Duncan has made enough all-star games in his career for a few players to call it a good career, but I’m sure he won’t mind another one. The 39-year old legend is a 15-time all-star. He is coming off a season in which he averaged 13.9 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 2 blocks. At his age he is still one of the more well rounded big men in the league. He is still a terrific defender and is capable of going for 20 points on any given night. It will be difficult to make the game but it is possible. The West is loaded in the front-court as Anthony Davis, Blake Griffin, LaMarcus Aldridge, Marc Gasol, and DeMarcus Cousins seem like locks.
Odds: 40 percent
Next: LaMarcus Aldridge
Apr 29, 2015; Memphis, TN, USA; Portland Trailblazers forward LaMarcus Aldridge (12) backs in against Memphis Grizzlies forwardZach Randolph
(50) in the first quarter during game five of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
LaMarcus Aldridge has made four consecutive all-star games. He is coming off a season in which he averaged 23.4 points and 10.2 rebounds. He is also the only player in the NBA to average at least 23 points and 10 rebounds in consecutive seasons. Aldridge isn’t the defender that Duncan or some other all-stars, but he is a dominant scorer and a good rebounder. There is no question that Aldridge has the best chance of any Spurs player to make the game, as he will be their best player.
Odds: 90 percent
Next: Jimmer Fredette Will Turn His Career Around in San Antonio