The San Antonio Spurs are playing the second night of a back-to-back against the Orlando Magic, a matchup that features the last two No. 1 overall picks in the NBA draft.
With Victor Wembanayma and Paolo Banchero going head-to-head, how should we bet on them in the prop market?
I have a play for Wemby, as well as a pair of 3-point props to consider on Thursday night. The Spurs have struggled to defend the 3-ball, so there is a way to take advantage of that on the Orlando side.
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Here are the three best props for this showdown:
Spurs vs. Magic best NBA prop bets
- Victor Wembanyama OVER 34.5 points, rebounds and assists
- Franz Wagner OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
- Wendell Carter Jr. OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Victor Wembanyama OVER 34.5 points, rebounds and assists
Over his last 16 games, Wembanyama has cleared this prop 12 times, and he fell just short of it against Miami on Wednesday night – registering 34 points, rebounds, and assists.
Orlando is a tough defense, but the team doesn’t have the size (not that many teams do) to deal with Wemby down low. He should have a major height advantage over Wendell Carter Jr.
After a few down-scoring games – Wemby took just 13 shots last night – I expect the young Spurs star to get back on track and get closer to his season average of 20.4 points per game. Go OVER on this prop for him on Thursday.
Franz Wagner OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
The Spurs rank 26th in the NBA in 3-point percentage allowed this season, which sets up well for the next two props.
Franz Wagner has made two or more shots from beyond the arc in seven of his last nine games, averaging 6.0 3-point attempts per game over that stretch and shooting 37.0 percent from deep.
He’s attempted seven shots from deep in each of his last two games, giving him a solid floor to hit this prop on Thursday. Given the Spurs’ rim protection because of Wemby, I wouldn't be shocked to see Orlando settle for some more jumpers.
Wendell Carter Jr. OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Carter Jr. is more of a longshot bet to hit multiple 3s (+175 at DraftKings), but I don’t mind it given the odds.
The Magic big man has hit multiple shots from deep in six of his last 15 games, attempting 3.1 shots per game from beyond the arc over that stretch. He’s hitting at a 47.8 percent clip in those games.
Against a weak 3-point defense, Carter could look to exploit San Antonio from range tonight.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.