As the NBA Playoffs heat up, so too are the league's proposed changes to the NBA Draft lottery. The San Antonio Spurs shouldn't be a lottery team in the near future but benefited heavily from the old system.
They netted three top-five picks between 2023 and 2025 and have struck gold with each selection. Adding Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and Dylan Harper in back-to-back-to-back drafts has been a game-changer and the number one reason why San Antonio is contending again.
Unfortunately for the current crop of bad teams, they won't have the same lottery luck. It's going to be next to impossible to stockpile young talent like the Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder under the proposed rule changes.
The NBA has disclosed to its 30 GMs a singular new anti-tanking reform that expands the draft lottery to 16 teams, flattens odds, and have a relegation zone where the bottom 3 teams are penalized with fewer lottery balls for the No. 1 pick.
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) April 28, 2026
ESPN details: https://t.co/0Zs1OfktfP
The result is that rebuilds may take longer than ever before, and bad teams may be rewarded with middling picks that don't change their fortunes for the good. That's not even factoring in that there will soon be two more NBA teams that factor into the draft lottery.
The NBA just gifted Spurs the perfect path to a potential dynasty
The draft changes will have no direct impact on the Spurs for hopefully at least a decade. In fact, if the changes are unpopular, then they could even be altered well before the Spurs are forced to rebuild.
The seeming goal is to disincentivize tanking by giving the franchises with the three worst records much lower lottery odds than teams ranked fourth-10th in the standings. It also provides play-in teams a small chance at landing the top pick.
The draft lottery is already more unpredictable than ever before, but this potential rule change would be on a whole new level. Imagine a 43-win play-in team such as the Miami Heat ending up with the number one overall pick.
It would help the middling teams too good for the lottery and not good enough to be a contender. However, if a team is truly bad, they may be, well, out of luck. So how does that impact San Antonio?
The Spurs may not have to worry about another contender emerging
With them already having a young core of Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper, plus De'Aaron Fox, they have a four-year window to win with that group. Beyond that, they could potentially keep Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper together and still be positioned to be an elite team.
The Thunder are in a similar boat with Shai Giigeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren. Unfortunately for the rest of the NBA, assembling that type of talent is going to be almost impossible.
As a result, don't expect any young up-and-coming teams brimming with talent to likely emerge in the near future. Hopefully, that gives San Antonio a big leg up in their pursuit of a sixth championship and perhaps more.
