Despite being one of the smaller markets in the NBA, the San Antonio Spurs have had their fair share of superstars over the years, with Victor Wembanyama potentially being the latest. Thus far, he has all the makings of a franchise player and, at just 20 years old, could be a dominant player for the next dozen years, if not more.
With his future appearing to be extremely bright, it raises questions about just how good he will be and if he will eventually eclipse Spurs icon Tim Duncan. Duncan spent 19 seasons in the Silver and Black and holds franchise records for scoring, blocks, and rebounds. However, Wembanyama has a chance to surpass him in the team's record books.
What Wembanyama needs to do to break Tim Duncan's record.
For Duncan's greatness, he wasn't as prolific of a scorer as other franchise greats such as David Robinson or George Gervin. Instead, he simply played at a very high level for much longer than they did as Spurs. Of course, we can only hope that Wembanyama sticks around long enough for him to challenge Duncan's record, but let's assume that he plays until his mid-30s and remains in San Antonio.
Given his play thus far, once the passing improves around him, it doesn't seem crazy to think that he could consistently average at least 25 points per game for years to come. Scoring around 2000 points a season would allow Wembanyama to make serious headway toward surpassing Duncan's mark of 26,496 career points. Of course, even if Wembanyama remains a Spur for the next fifteen seasons or so, he would have to remain relatively healthy to do so.
7'4 players aren't normally known for durability and longevity, but sports medicine has come a long way, so there is hope that he will age as gracefully as Duncan did. If he didn't, then players don't normally stick around for that long if they are battling injuries, so assuming he averages around 65–70 games a year throughout his prime, he should have no problem surpassing Duncan's franchise scoring mark.
Overall, Wembanyama has the skill to be an elite scorer in the NBA for years to come. If he remains healthy and remains a Spur throughout the majority of his career, he will have no problem surpassing Hall of Famer Tim Duncan in scoring.