Toronto's latest draft odds have Spurs fans on high alert

San Antonio Spurs fans are likely keeping a close eye on the Toronto Raptors' record since the Spurs own their pick, but a recent update could change that.
Gregg Popovich
Gregg Popovich / Matthew Stockman/GettyImages

Fans of the San Antonio Spurs are likely checking the standings nightly, not only to see where the Spurs will finish but also where the Toronto Raptors finish. By now, every Spurs and Raptors fan knows that San Antonio owns Toronto's top-six protected pick in this year's NBA Draft, and it is still very much up in the air where that selection will end up.

The Raptors appear to be a lock to finish with the sixth-worst record after dropping 15 of their last 16 games, putting distance between them and the seventh-place Memphis Grizzlies. Even then, they have just a 46% chance of keeping their pick. That is great news for San Antonio, who could get excellent return value from trading away Jakob Poeltl in the form of the seventh or eighth pick in this draft.

Will the San Antonio Spurs land Toronto's pick, and who may they draft if they do?

With a 54% chance of receiving Toronto's pick, Spurs fans should like their odds. After all, the Spurs had just a 15% chance of landing Victor Wembanyama. Therefore, 54%, or better than a coin flip's chance at adding another top-10 pick, is a great position to be in.

Even if it doesn't convey this year, the Spurs will keep the rights to Toronto's first-round pick with the same top-six protections. Next year, several teams will almost certainly be tanking for Cooper Flagg and he is considered to be the best American prospect since Zion Williamson back in 2019.

Either way, the Raptors pick is more likely than not to be conveyed as a lottery pick. Let's consider the possibility that the pick conveys and who San Antonio may select. There are a few options, especially now that March Madness has caused several players who were once considered to be top-five picks to fall. One option could be Reed Sheppard, a sharp shooting guard from Kentucky who can also defend.

Ultimately, with fewer than 10 days left in the season, Spurs fans will probably continue to pay close attention to the standings, particularly where Toronto ends up. With a 54% chance at their pick, San Antonio could very well end up with two top-10 selections in this year's draft.