Top 5 NBA Draft Prospects: Who has the biggest bust potential?

Scoot Henderson, Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs
Scoot Henderson, Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs / Ethan Miller/GettyImages
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#2: A very real bust risk – Nick Smith Jr

Without a better comparison, Nick Smith Jr has all the talent the Spurs saw in Josh Primo and then some. The 6’5” Razorback can easily play both guard positions and can find success both on and off the ball. He is a solid shooter who is very dangerous in the midrange, and his shooting form does not need the tweaks that most prospects have to make. 

That being said, there are some major concerns. First, he is very slim and might not be able to defend any drivers in the league. He does not have the athleticism to meet people at the rim or get there himself. It sounds cliche for a prospect, but it rings true: Smith needs to put on weight. 

This is especially apparent with his rebounding. Most guards never really scrap for boards, but with his height, it would be nice to see him in the fray, but he just seems fragile.

At best, he could be an elite scorer who can also create for those around him. At worst, he will be a spot-up shooter who is a liability on defense and has very real injury concerns. Granted, he does have a listed 6’9” wingspan, so he could defend with the same style as Dejounte Murray, but Murray was an instant impact defender, and Smith will need to work on it.