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Spurs: Projecting Keldon Johnson's ceiling and floor in 2022

San Antonio Spurs Keldon Johnson
San Antonio Spurs Keldon Johnson / Alex Menendez/Getty Images
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San Antonio Spurs
Keldon Johnson / Ronald Cortes/Getty Images

Keldon Johnson's Ceiling

Let's take a look at the flipside now -- a world in which Keldon Johnson develops a teardrop or floater, improves his outside shoot, or both. That would obviously be ideal for San Antonio and likely propel Johnson into the All-Star conversation or, at the very least, give him some Most Improved Player consideration.

If Johnson adds to his game this season, there's no reason he shouldn't be able to average around 17.5 points per game. On a per-36-minute basis, he was at 16.1 last season, but that was while shooting just 33.1% from the outside and shooting 65% of his shots from within three feet.

If San Antonio keeps Johnson at the small forward spot in which he belongs, he should continue to feast on the glass and bump his boards per game up from six to about 7.3 on the high end. His instinct on both ends of the boards is already impressive and should only improve with more opportunity.

If going by 2021 production, a ceiling Keldon would put up numbers resembling those of John Collins last season, who put up 17.6 points and 7.4 rebounds per game. Certainly not impossible.

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The Olympics were the perfect springboard for Keldon Johnson to get his name out there and show his value. Now's his chance to show San Antonio he can be the team's next big thing.