3. At Least 12 Three-Point Makes
The numbers suggest that 12 made three-point shots is the baseline for the Spurs to give themselves a solid chance to win. They're above .500 at 21-20 when making at least 12 threes this year and just 13-28 when they fail to do so.
For them to hit this number on Wednesday, they'll need good shooting nights from their best outside shot-makers. Devin Vassell has been on a heater from outside so far in April, making a blistering 48% percent of his shots from deep. Another exceptional night from him could end up being the difference.
More than probably anyone else, Keldon Johnson has the ability to take over this game with his 3-point shooting. He extended his streak of consecutive games with 20 points or more to nine on Sunday against Dallas, and he's as hot as he's been all season.
When Keldon makes four or more threes this year, the Spurs are 9-5. If he can catch fire one more time, it'll go a long way toward San Antonio advancing and officially ending the Pelicans' season.
The Play-In Tournament begins Tuesday, with the Spurs facing the Pelicans on day two, Wednesday at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.