San Antonio Spurs 2021-'22 record prediction: 36-46, 11th in the Western Conference
Yes, this is most definitely the worst-case scenario for the Spurs: not good enough to sniff a playoff spot and yet not bad enough to snag a top-five pick. If DeRozan walks and no big additions are made to the roster, this could be the reality of next season.
A young core of Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Lonnie Walker, Jakob Poeltl, Devin Vassell, and Luka Samanic should be good enough to be better than a bottom five to ten team in the league. However, they are not good enough to be a serious playoff team in the West barring some miraculous offseason growth from at least a couple of them.
At the end of late games this past season, DeRozan and Gay were the players that were more often than not responsible for getting clutch buckets. DeRozan bailed the team out in close games with his clutch one-on-one isolation buckets way too many times for comfort last season. Even if they add a couple of solid veterans in free agency like Kelly Oubre or Torrey Craig, though, none of them are going to have the offensive prowess DeRozan brought on a daily basis.