In a similar vein to the 1st overall pick, if there’s any team at the top of the draft that can afford to gamble, it’s the Oklahoma City Thunder. Including this year’s draft, the Thunder own a whopping 19 1st-round picks in the next six drafts, and even if they don’t choose to keep all of them, they’ll consistently be draft trade-up candidates in the next several years and will be able to use other picks in trade talks.
While I don’t necessarily consider Chet Holmgren to be as risky of a prospect as some claim, the Thunder likely wouldn’t be nervous to select such a unique player. Furthermore, Holmgren was one of the most statistically impactful players in college basketball this past season, fits the team’s newfound defensive identity, and has the type of positional versatility that I think Sam Presti will highly covet.
That does not mean that Holmgren will be anything close to a black hole on the other end of the court, though. He was one of the most efficient players around the rim in the country, hit 39% of his threes on over three attempts per game, and was only barely utilized as an offensive initiator. From my perspective, we’ve only seen the tip of the iceberg with Holmgren’s offense, and he likely won’t even need to bulk up to show the rest of his repertoire.