Even though the San Antonio Spurs will not be part of the NBA Draft Lottery, let’s look at the odds for all 14 teams.
The San Antonio Spurs will not be part of Tuesday’s 2018 NBA Draft Lottery show. In fact, they have placed out of it in every season since 1996-97, when Tim Duncan went No. 1 overall and reshaped the course of the franchise.
The Silver and Black own the No. 18 pick in the first round of the draft, their highest spot, trade or not, since 2011, when they traded up to select Kawhi Leonard from San Diego State.
Which teams are above the Spurs, though? How likely of a chance do they have at the No. 1 overall pick and the potential next Duncan? Let’s look at the odds for all 14 teams and up to where San Antonio picks:
- Phoenix Suns: 25 percent
- Memphis Grizzlies: 19.9 percent
- Dallas Mavericks: 13.8 percent
- Atlanta Hawks: 13.7 percent
- Orlando Magic: 8.8 percent
- Chicago Bulls: 5.3 percent
- Sacramento Kings: 5.3 percent
- Cleveland Cavaliers (via Celtics through Nets in trade for Kyrie Irving): 2.8 percent
- New York Knicks: 1.7 percent
- Philadelphia 76ers: 1.1 percent
- Charlotte Hornets: 0.8 percent
- Los Angeles Clippers (via Pistons in trade for Blake Griffin): 0.7 percent
- Los Angeles Clippers: 0.6 percent
- Denver Nuggets: 0.5 percent
- Washington Wizards
- Phoenix Suns (via Heat in trade for Goran Dragic)
- Milwaukee Bucks
- San Antonio Spurs
The odds are in Phoenix’s favor, but it’s no guarantee they receive the No. 1 overall pick. More often than not, it’s a team with the fifth or sixth-best odds that win the lottery, but those further down the pecking order have found success. That includes the Orlando Magic, who had the 11th-best odds in the 1993 NBA Draft, winning the lottery. USA Today has the history of each lottery winner, as of 2016.
The 2018 NBA Draft Lottery show takes place on Tuesday, May 15 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Who will receive the No. 1 pick and begin a month’s worth of speculation?